Bad Science

Doomsday 2012 Assumptions

For those who have been reading too much of the stories and theories about planets and other linked stuff which is doing rounds on the net related with 2012 doomsday. This post must offer them some relief from the wrong notations which are abundant in the theories.

Take up any theory from the random selection of your choice and examine it on the pre-set parameters which it notes that those must be true to make it happen.

This problem is widespread in all the theories that they are based upon too many assumptions. These assumptions are loosely based on the other sub theories.

The doomsday 2012 event as per experts can be a good example of the assumptions being fitted to suit the needs of a particular expert. You can prove anything with these assumptions and doomsday experts are no exceptions when it comes to choosing between the right way of science and selling the book which can push the sensational ideas to public.

The problem is, nobody want to believe that doomsday theories are fake and hoax because they do not provide enough evidences to prove that it has happened in the past. Some of them are smart to come to several debates and tell you that this is going to happen regardless of the fact whether you like it or not. Buy the book to explore more about that.Some of them are genuine and are in the field to prove some theories on the basis of scientific assumptions.  The problem of verification still remains there. The experts are considered conformists who do not challenge the set parameters. Some of them take the populist views which can benefit them. The assumptions are the main features which you are going to find in the theories.

Next time, when you read any of these theories, question the expert why there are so many assumptions if the expert is so much sure about that doomsday in 2012 is coming.  You can easily list the assumptions and if you find illogical assumptions, throw that theory in trash-can.

Test 2012 Doomsday on Mani The Parrot

Wise Parrot Must be Tested for its Psychic Powers

There is another news which coming from the FIFA World Cup 2010 related predictions. This time it is Mani, the Parrot, Parakeet living in Singapore. The keeper of the parrot Mani has predicted that Netherlands will win the world cup.  So funny that we are taking help of animals who even are not aware that humans are using them to meet their own selfish ends.

Let’s assume that Mani the Parrot can predict the future events.  There is a well defined test for extra sensory powers. The same test can be performed to know exactly if the parrot is psychic or not. If it does not fail even single time, there is no guarantee that it can not fail and cannot go wrong.  Let’s assume that Mani, the parrot passes the test.

We can give the the another test to its keepers to tell us if doomsday of 2012 will come or not.  It would be really interesting to see the results.  What ever are the results are, should not be taken very seriously.  Doomsday event is not a football match. And the worse, the doomsday prediction with the help of an animal is going to lead to several serious issues. One is that, its followers and believers can be misled to believe that Mani the Parrot can not go wrong and what ever it predicts is certain. This thought is scary enough to send people to have covers.

Keep animals out of the business of prediction, we have enough people who claim to be expert with the art of prediction.  If these animals will rule the world of prediction or say industry of prediction, what the experts are going to do. The interesting case would be when you would see books by these animals and more worse the case of stock market prediction with the help of a Parrot. It is going to vanish many investors if they take it too seriously.

As far as doomsday of 2012 is concerned, have Mani the Parrot to predict something. Results are awaited and we are eager to listen what this wise parrot tells us.

Crop Circles, Any pointers to 2012 Doomsday?

The science of faking art and making big news out that.

Crop Circles are examples of how people at mass level can be taken for ride.  My recommendation to any one is, begin with reading wiki page of crop circles.

According to several researches, crop circles can be faked. and can be manufactured using the simple tools. May be someone is able to implant a crop circle over night in some fields. There are wild possibilities. One of them is wild and bad case is of aliens creating these crop circles in UK and all over the world.

For instance, let’s assume that aliens created crop circle and they are telling us something about 2012.  Even if it is true, the crop circles contain no message for us. The theories are aplenty and the possible explanations do not point to anything worth to mention. The crop circles are in full symmetry and that is what puts them to the fake cases. The aliens making these designs must be in full knowledge of the rules of geometry. The nature does not have which is fully geometric  but sub sets of the geometrical objects. The crop circles and doomsday 2012 does not point to any particular date or so called warning. The maya civilization might not be having any knowledge of these crop circles in the old eras. Now there are many experts who link two of them together. The crop circles can be explained with the studies and nothing seems to be making sense as far as 2012 doomsday is concerned.

Again a bad science spoiling the efforts of the people who are trying to make sense of many things. The doomsday 2012 is certainly one of those things which seem impossible for now.

Genealogy Changes in 2012 Doomsday Scenario

Bad Science can be twisted to suit the ends and genealogy is one of them.

Genealogy is a science of studying family tree which can be formed using the public records and tracing them back to the early ancestors.  Genealogy has become very popular in last few years. More people are looking forward to trace their roots.  On paper, it all looks good and easy. One can not find the roots beyond few centuries. The historical point comes where you hit the wall. You can not go beyond that.  Lets examine the scenario when this wall is shifted to 2012 and future generations are not able to go beyond that because the records will not exist because of doomsday events.

The above scenario has many serious issues and logical problems. First is, almost all doomsday theorists believe that time will again restart after doomsday.  Even the biggest earth-shaking events can not wipe out all the records, buildings and the systems.  Even the complete doom will leave few survivors. The material goes nowhere.  The material like metal, steel, and other structures are going to be here. The survivors can use the remaining resources to build the future from there.

Second is, such large scale doomsday event can do  harm but will not change it for ever. What is the connection of genealogy and doomsday 2012. Apparently nothing except having mentions in the theories and doomsday books. Anyone who used resources to trace his or her roots and have written that, that is going to be available. The technology is much advanced to restore the digital records. Nothing to worry on that front.

Genealogical changes  in 2012 are not possible because genealogy is still not an established science.  It is still based upon unverified records which might be true and false as well. The DNA tracing is more established to find out more about races on earth. Even if doomsday in 2012 comes, still DNA techniques will be available to trace the origins.

And finally, There is no proof to say that time will restart after improbable and impossible doomsday of 2012.

Indian Weather and Doomsday 2012

Indian Desert is turning Green and experiencing Flood for the first time.

New Delhi this year is seeing very high temperature.  The weather system is so well disturbed this year that it is unpredictable the next move of the monsoon this year. We are not seeing the re-run of past history. Every day, the newspaper is reporting the broken records of high temperatures. While one day of May was also recorded as the coolest one as well.

These disturbed weather pattern indicate something. Apparently nothing. May to August 2010 will remain hot like any other year. There is no correlation with the doomsday or anything. Indian weather sometimes is at the mercy of the astrologers and the scientists who are no better at the art. Cyclones and storms have been part of Indian weather for many years. The al-nino has severe effect here but 2010 is supposed to be the cooler than before if we believe what weather department told us during the long range forecast for the  weather ahead.

The problem lies with the global warming. The Indian desert is not growing anymore. The data shows that it is shrinking every year. The desert is having more trees and greenery. If you look at the few cities in deserts, there the flood is occurring and some of the population in these places had never seen flood in their lifetime earlier.

Doomsday is very subjective term. It has no relation with these patterns. And 2012 doomsday may not be real one but few greedy countries and these weather patterns may create one in few years.

More caution must be exercised when terming and linking weather patterns with doomsday.  There is no relationship what so ever with doomsday 2012 to Indian monsoon or weather systems.  The data of the rains and heat point that what we are seeing now, has occurred in the past as well.  Rest everything or repeatability of such events is just co-incidence and nothing else.

2012 Doomsday Racing Minds

Are Doomsday Experts really Intelligent? Or just smart salesmen?

People are racing their minds in many directions on the speculation, this may happen and this too may happen in 2012. Lets focus on the expert problem in 2012 doomsday theories.  The argument is that humans are incapable of understanding the hidden evidences.  There is a strong case against the so called experts.  So, does expert problem exist in 2012 doomsday theories?

To me, It exists. What if these experts predict and plan everything for doomsday and doomsday do not come at all. Or something other man-made hits us which equals to damage on the large scale.  The point is, these experts are no better than any morning walker in the park.  We need to understand how an expert is formed.  A fake expert is the result of greed and hollow science.  A confused expert is the result of over-education. A true expert does not exist.  The nature of doomsdays and the events which can not be predicted, points to the fact that theories can not be believed. The validation problem exists with these theories.

Take any popular doomsday theory, some elements are common and you can find them easily.  A new doomsday expert with a book in his hands appears and claims that he knows something which other experts do not know.  A fake and smart expert thinks he can beat others in the game and his book can become one of the best sellers overnight. The problem is, all the experts think alike, trying to beat each other.

Then comes an unknown guy sitting far away and trying to make sense out of theories.  The scientific and social models are not enough to understand the events which are yet to come.  Doomsday experts are mostly copy cats.

None of the large scale events occurred according to the books and pre-existing theories.  If doomsday experts know too much, they must be the first ones who must relocate to safer places. I never heard any doomsday 2012 expert selling his home and running away from luxurious beaches.

The polished and refined crap can earn money. The books of doomsday experts are just garbage.  These books do not make sense at all.  An expert thinks himself wiser than the others while he knows deeply, he is just faking it.  Let 2013 come, many of these doomsday experts will vanish or probably will be searching for next big theory which can be used for producing another book.

2012 Doomsday Linking Oil Leak and Rising Temperature

Several chat boards and forums are discussing whether BP oil leak incident is related to 2012 doomsday.  Lets discuss this in details.

BP oil leak does not have the scale of doomsday. Even it does not have wide-spread effects on the larger world. The connected sea and borderlines in Africa, India, China, Japan will not even notice the oil leak. An accident of oil leak has the time duration and it has the start and end date. It does not go into infinity like sun is burning for ages.  Oil Leak can not be linked to any doomsday event. It is an isolated incident which arose due to human negligence.

The other issue of rising temperature in Asian region. The south Asia is reeling under the severe heat these days. Temperature is soaring as high as 50 degree centigrade.  It is not very unusual for the region because monsoon and the rainy season begins at this time. Rising temperature and low temperature of last year which sustained cold weather, do not have any visible link. Similarly, the global warming can not be a reason for doomsday.  On this issue I will write next post.

For now, doomsday followers and the people who are interested in the doomsday 2012 theories, are fueling the speculations that oil leak is some how linked to impossible doomsday of 2012.

There is no visible or scientific link so far. May be speculators know more than scientists and a field journalist.

Mojave Desert, Smart Choice or Just a Place?

Is Mojave Desert a choice of Geologists for being safe in 2012 Doomsday scenarios?

Over the geologists and their circle, this discussion was hot topic why Mojave desert is being considered a safest place in US.  This discussion stems from the fact that Vivos is constructing bunkers and shelter houses there.  A company will not invest so much money without consulting a geologist or team of geologists and other experts. It is big decision and has to be approved by several teams of experts who have completed remarkable work in their career.

Mojave is not all desert, there are some cities and people live there already. Many people may consider the deserts as the safest option.  Deserts are going to save you but there are challenges which are beyond work-around. How you are going to live if there is no water. How are you going to make it to see another day if there is no food available.  Survival is not all about being alive. It is about living for many years.  Anyone thinking of making home in deep deserts have to include the plans to store the water and food for many months.  The conditions after an extreme events can not be predicted.  The advance plans are the key to many things.  It is not known how Vivos is going to generate water for the people if all the water has been dried up.

Mojave looks a natural but tough choice for survival. I would go with the choices which can be made out in mountains. Mountains will have less issues. The clouds and the water can be formed there naturally.  While, deserts will be having enormous heat, mountains will be having rains. The equation goes like this. The better choice for these bunkers would have been somewhere in high mountains.

Mojave for 2012 doomsday scenarios is right choice but a tougher one and full of challenges.  I repeat again, Vivos bunkers in Mojave deserts are being made for surviving in extreme conditions. The deserts and environment there is big challenge.

2012 Supernova Review and Mistaken Bias

Should Someone Make a Movie on 2012 Anymore?

In 2009, there was another movie which was release its name was 2012: Supernova. The movie was directed and produced by someone called Anthony Fankhauser. Coincidently he is author or the story as well.  IMDB offers 2 stars in rating and the other viewers point that it is badly made movie.  Rotten Tomatoes does not have review yet.  The plot revolves around the burst of a star and a desperate scientist struggling to save humanity.  Thats on this movie.

Why movie like 2012: Supernova fail to get the attention and probably great value in ticket sale at the theaters.  Most of these movies lack the plot and story-line. All such movies are trying to prove that movie has got a superman and he is available to save you. These plot-lines have been exhausted so much that it does not sell anymore.  Another problem is of mistaken bias. Mistaken bias is here, the author begin to think himself an expert of astro-physics and geology. None of these guys want to pay an expert but lonely geologist sitting in remote lab. If you are making a movie on science related subjects and want to make sense, you need someone with credible sense of facts.  Nevertheless, movies fail, books fail and so so-called experts fail. All because nobody wants to check the facts.  I think, it is because most of these guys are trying to snatch a pie from the bigger cake of 2012 related sale which they think is present. Nobody did a calculation, how much worth the total market is.  A badly attempted movie with low budget may earn money to cover its money which was spent on production.  Beyond that, the market for badly cooked stories remains grim. And this movie falls in that category sadly.

Does Iceland Volcano Point to 2012 Doomsday?

This is probably the newest debate in many internet boards.  There are several new experts (I tried to find the name of one expert at least), according to many articles appearing in many sites, who are making claims that Iceland volcano eruption points to 2012 doomsday theories. Several of them think that it is precursor to the activities which are going to lead to doomsday.  Many people fear that another Volcano Katla may wake-up from the long sleep.

Well, even if we believe that it is one of the doomsday scenario, its scale is not that large or big.  It does not have the potential to be called a precursor to doomsday. Volcanoes have been in the history of earth and there is nothing fancy about them to link them to any of doomsday theories.

Does sunspots affect volcanoes? There is no possible link which has been established. Right now, we see everything being linked to one or another theory. The problem in these theories is, there is either bad science or no science at all. If you examine one of these theories, you would realize it does not make sense at all to link volcanoes to sunspots.  Sunspots have been regular activities and there are no volcanoes which got active in state due to sunspots. There is no established link so far.

Anyone who wants to read about volcanoes and active ones, must head to wiki page at least once.  If say tomorrow, my coffee spills over the table, will it too have relation to 2012 doomsday? I am sure, If I tell the story to one of the expert, he will find the links and texts from the old books linking spilling of coffee to doomsday scenario.